Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.7%
Hull
27.6%
Draw
47.7%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Hull
vs
1.53
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
9.0%
0-0
8.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).