Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.3%
Lugano
28.6%
Draw
25.0%
Lausanne Sport
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Lugano
vs
1.16
Lausanne Sport
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).