Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Santander
19.7%
Draw
27.4%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Santander
vs
1.64
Almeria
Markets
BTTS72.4%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.575.2%
Over 3.555.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
6.0%
3-2
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
1-0
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
2-3
3.8%
4-1
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).