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14 Aug 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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76.3%
Hannover
16.3%
Draw
7.4%
Regensburg

Expected Goals (xG)

2.49

Hannover

vs
0.68

Regensburg

Markets

BTTS45.9%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.0%
3-0
10.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
6.7%
0-0
4.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-0
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).