Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →1.4%
Stoke
5.2%
Draw
93.3%
Sholing
Expected Goals (xG)
0.33
Stoke
vs
3.52
Sholing
Markets
BTTS27.0%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.573.9%
Over 3.553.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
15.5%
0-4
13.7%
0-2
13.2%
0-5
9.6%
0-1
7.6%
1-3
5.1%
1-4
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
1-5
3.2%
1-1
2.4%
0-0
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).