Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.6%
Salernitana
28.1%
Draw
41.3%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Salernitana
vs
1.23
Lecce
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.2%
1-1
13.0%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).