Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Tenerife
29.3%
Draw
42.0%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Tenerife
vs
1.18
Malaga
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.1%
1-0
11.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).