Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.0%
Orleans
29.2%
Draw
25.8%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Orleans
vs
0.76
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS34.8%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.555.0%
Over 2.529.1%
Over 3.512.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.1%
0-0
14.2%
0-1
12.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
4.9%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).