Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.7%
Nott'm Forest
24.3%
Draw
13.0%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Nott'm Forest
vs
0.67
Preston
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
2-0
13.7%
1-1
11.2%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
5.2%
4-0
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).