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AHT: 10CSV

27 Aug 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.7%
Walsall
27.1%
Draw
33.2%
Grimsby

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Walsall

vs
1.09

Grimsby

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.7%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).