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10 Feb 2024 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.1%
Las Palmas
30.0%
Draw
34.9%
Valencia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Las Palmas

vs
1.10

Valencia

Markets

BTTS45.2%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
11.4%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
3-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).