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16 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.3%
Bury
17.2%
Draw
65.6%
Whitstable Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Bury

vs
2.54

Whitstable Town

Markets

BTTS65.4%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.572.8%
Over 3.552.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.1%
1-3
7.7%
0-2
7.3%
1-1
7.0%
0-3
6.2%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
1-4
4.9%
2-3
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).