Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.8%
Cartagena
28.6%
Draw
49.6%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Cartagena
vs
1.30
Burgos
Markets
BTTS38.4%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.8%
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
4.7%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
0-4
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).