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AHT: 00CSV

04 Dec 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.4%
Ingolstadt
29.2%
Draw
42.4%
Braunschweig

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Ingolstadt

vs
1.39

Braunschweig

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).