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31 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.5%
Leganes
29.2%
Draw
22.3%
Mirandes

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Leganes

vs
0.75

Mirandes

Markets

BTTS37.5%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.1%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
10.6%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).