Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.3%
Osasuna
25.8%
Draw
16.9%
Deportivo Alavés
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Osasuna
vs
0.72
Deportivo Alavés
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
2-0
12.4%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).