Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.6%
Scunthorpe
20.5%
Draw
61.8%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Scunthorpe
vs
2.30
Notts County
Markets
BTTS62.9%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.567.5%
Over 3.545.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.4%
0-1
6.4%
0-3
6.3%
2-2
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
2-3
4.3%
1-4
4.2%
0-0
3.8%
0-4
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).