Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.4%
FC Koln
22.1%
Draw
46.5%
Bury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
FC Koln
vs
1.82
Bury
Markets
BTTS64.1%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.541.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
0-1
7.1%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-3
4.0%
2-0
4.0%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).