Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
Barnsley
23.0%
Draw
29.8%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Barnsley
vs
1.19
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).