Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.9%
Las Palmas
25.1%
Draw
21.0%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Las Palmas
vs
0.95
Granada
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).