Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.0%
Nottingham Forest
28.3%
Draw
32.7%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Nottingham Forest
vs
1.03
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
13.0%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).