Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.5%
Vitória Guimarães
28.8%
Draw
40.7%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Vitória Guimarães
vs
1.36
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).