Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.9%
Curzon Ashton
30.7%
Draw
41.5%
Tamworth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Curzon Ashton
vs
1.07
Tamworth
Markets
BTTS36.4%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.556.0%
Over 2.529.5%
Over 3.512.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.6%
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
0-3
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).