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21 Dec 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.5%
Stuttgart
21.2%
Draw
11.2%
St Pauli

Expected Goals (xG)

2.00

Stuttgart

vs
0.69

St Pauli

Markets

BTTS43.6%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.6%
1-0
13.0%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.1%
0-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-0
4.5%
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).