Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.8%
Ingolstadt
19.6%
Draw
68.7%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Ingolstadt
vs
2.29
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.3%
0-1
8.9%
0-3
8.5%
1-3
7.4%
0-0
5.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
2-1
3.6%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).