Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Grasshopper
32.0%
Draw
40.8%
Lugano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Grasshopper
vs
1.33
Lugano
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.2%
0-0
11.5%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).