Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.3%
Birmingham
21.7%
Draw
11.0%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Birmingham
vs
0.66
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.0%
1-0
13.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
9.1%
0-0
8.0%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
4.4%
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).