Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.2%
Huesca
23.4%
Draw
47.3%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Huesca
vs
1.72
Castellon
Markets
BTTS59.7%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
8.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
1-3
5.4%
0-0
4.8%
2-0
4.1%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).