Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
Skegness Town
22.6%
Draw
33.5%
Newark Flowserve
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Skegness Town
vs
1.48
Newark Flowserve
Markets
BTTS63.1%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.3%
2-0
6.0%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.5%
3-2
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
0-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).