Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.3%
Nantes
21.0%
Draw
57.7%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Nantes
vs
1.98
Marseille
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
0-1
9.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.5%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
0-0
4.2%
2-3
3.7%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).