Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.1%
Wycombe
15.9%
Draw
10.0%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Wycombe
vs
0.65
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.9%
1-0
13.2%
3-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-0
5.8%
0-0
4.9%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
3.8%
2-2
3.0%
1-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).