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31 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.4%
Partick
24.1%
Draw
15.5%
Queens Park

Expected Goals (xG)

2.01

Partick

vs
0.95

Queens Park

Markets

BTTS54.6%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
8.9%
3-0
7.0%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
4-0
3.5%
0-1
3.4%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).