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DHT: 21CSV

02 Sept 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.1%
Sheffield United
20.4%
Draw
69.5%
Everton

Expected Goals (xG)

0.75

Sheffield United

vs
2.21

Everton

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.6%
0-1
10.2%
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.3%
1-3
7.0%
0-0
6.3%
0-4
5.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
2-1
3.2%
1-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).