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AHT: 11

10 Aug 2024 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.7%
Queens Park Rangers
27.5%
Draw
29.8%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

Queens Park Rangers

vs
1.19

West Brom

Markets

BTTS54.5%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).