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DHT: 10CSV

27 Jan 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.9%
Hamilton
22.5%
Draw
16.6%
Montrose

Expected Goals (xG)

1.98

Hamilton

vs
0.94

Montrose

Markets

BTTS53.2%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
2-0
10.6%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).