Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.7%
Stoke
30.5%
Draw
23.8%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Stoke
vs
0.86
West Brom
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
13.9%
0-0
12.6%
2-0
9.7%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).