Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.7%
Sociedad
23.9%
Draw
20.4%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Sociedad
vs
0.99
Valencia
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
6.6%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).