Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.3%
Lens
28.1%
Draw
33.6%
Red Star
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Lens
vs
0.98
Red Star
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
0-1
13.6%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).