Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.2%
Lorient
21.2%
Draw
41.6%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Lorient
vs
1.89
Marseille
Markets
BTTS70.5%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.571.1%
Over 3.550.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
0-1
5.0%
1-0
4.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
0-2
4.5%
3-2
4.3%
2-0
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).