Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.5%
Elche
26.5%
Draw
34.0%
Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Elche
vs
1.27
Ath Bilbao
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
9.4%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.2%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).