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10 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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82.6%
Stockport
11.0%
Draw
6.4%
Newport County

Expected Goals (xG)

3.00

Stockport

vs
0.74

Newport County

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.572.0%
Over 3.551.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-0
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
4-1
5.9%
1-1
5.1%
5-0
4.8%
5-1
3.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).