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DHT: 02CSV

28 Aug 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.1%
Fylde
28.4%
Draw
39.5%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Fylde

vs
1.38

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS53.8%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).