Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
Cambridge
24.0%
Draw
20.0%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Cambridge
vs
0.84
Salford
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).