Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.8%
Salernitana
35.5%
Draw
34.7%
Chievo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Salernitana
vs
0.94
Chievo
Markets
BTTS36.4%
Over 0.582.1%
Over 1.555.0%
Over 2.526.9%
Over 3.510.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.9%
1-1
14.7%
0-1
14.3%
1-0
12.8%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-0
6.0%
2-1
5.7%
2-2
2.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).