Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.8%
Ceuta
24.5%
Draw
28.7%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Ceuta
vs
1.20
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
7.8%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).