Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
Genoa
24.7%
Draw
29.8%
Fiorentina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Genoa
vs
1.20
Fiorentina
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).