Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.2%
Crawley Town
23.1%
Draw
61.7%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Crawley Town
vs
1.66
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.5%
0-2
13.4%
1-1
10.4%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
9.0%
0-3
7.4%
1-0
6.9%
1-3
5.0%
2-1
3.6%
0-4
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
2-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).