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26 Dec 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.5%
Dag and Red
21.1%
Draw
12.4%
Maidstone

Expected Goals (xG)

2.09

Dag and Red

vs
0.80

Maidstone

Markets

BTTS49.1%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.1%
1-0
10.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.3%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).