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AHT: 01CSV

04 Mar 2023 · 15:00

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Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.8%
Walsall
24.4%
Draw
21.9%
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Expected Goals (xG)

1.57

Walsall

vs
0.89

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Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.0%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
8.1%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).