Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.6%
Verona
25.7%
Draw
32.7%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Verona
vs
1.22
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
0-0
7.1%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).